Figure 2. Probability of Arrest in Each County over the Study Period
Source: Authors’ analysis of arrest data from six county jails.
Note: In the Midwest and Southwest, the pre-period observation window is July 1, 2012, through September 30, 2013. In the Southeast, the pre-period observation window is January 1, 2015, through March 31, 2016. In the Midwest and Southwest, the post-period observation window is July 1, 2014, through December 31, 2015. In the Southeast, the post-period observation window is January 1, 2017, through June 30, 2018. Medicaid expansion in the Midwest and Southwest county pairs occurred on January 1, 2014. Medicaid expansion in the Southeast county pair occurred on June 1, 2016.