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Research Article
Open Access

The Fallout from Criminal Justice System Contact

Hedwig Lee, Alexandra Gibbons, Garrett Baker, Christopher Wildeman
RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences October 2025, 11 (3) 174-229; DOI: https://doi.org/10.7758/RSF.2025.11.3.05
Hedwig Lee
aJames B. Duke Distinguished Professor of Sociology at Duke University, United States
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Alexandra Gibbons
bPhD student at Harvard University, United States
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Garrett Baker
cPhD candidate at Duke University, United States
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Christopher Wildeman
dProfessor of sociology at Duke University, United States, and works at the Rockwool Foundation Research Unit, Copenhagen, Denmark
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  • Figure 1.
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    Figure 1.

    Rates of Criminal Justice System Contact by Type

    Source: Authors’ calculations.

    Note: The coverage of probation agencies expanded in 1998 and 1999. Therefore, the probation rate may not be comparable to prior years.

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    Figure 2.

    Point-in-Time Contact Rates by Contact Type and Race/Ethnicity

    Source: Authors’ calculations.

    Note: Vertical dotted lines represent when two separate categories replaced the combined Asian/Pacific Islander category. Vertical dashed lines indicate that in the years following, counts by racial group do not include Hispanics; in the jails plot, White and Black were already specified as non-Hispanic. Jail population data are adjusted for all years using procedures described in Census of Jails, 2005–2019, Statistical Tables, 48.

  • Figure 3.
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    Figure 3.

    Prison Admissions per 100,000 Residents Ages 20–39 by Race and Educational Attainment

    Source: Muller and Roehrkasse 2022. Reprinted with permission.

    Note: Rates are adjusted to account for changes in the distribution of educational attainment; see Muller and Roehrkasse 2022.

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    Figure 4.

    Direct and Indirect Cumulative Exposure Risks to Arrest, Probation, and Incarceration

    Sources: a Boen, Graetz, et al. 2022; b Brame et al. 2014; c Roehrkasse and Wildeman 2022; d Boen, Olson, and Lee 2022; e Goldman 2019; f Enns et al. 2019; g Wildeman 2009; h Finlay et al. 2023.

    Note: Overlapping estimates are jittered to ensure visibility.

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    Figure 5.

    Results from Race-Stratified Models in Existing Literature

    Source: Authors’ calculations.

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    Figure 6.

    Statistical Methods Used by Outcome and Treatment Analyzed (1992–August 2023)

    Source: Authors’ calculations.

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    Figure 7.

    Restoration of Voting Rights Following Felony Conviction, as of October 2024

    Source: National Conference of State Legislatures 2024.

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RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences: 11 (3)
RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences
Vol. 11, Issue 3
1 Oct 2025
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The Fallout from Criminal Justice System Contact
Hedwig Lee, Alexandra Gibbons, Garrett Baker, Christopher Wildeman
RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences Oct 2025, 11 (3) 174-229; DOI: 10.7758/RSF.2025.11.3.05

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The Fallout from Criminal Justice System Contact
Hedwig Lee, Alexandra Gibbons, Garrett Baker, Christopher Wildeman
RSF: The Russell Sage Foundation Journal of the Social Sciences Oct 2025, 11 (3) 174-229; DOI: 10.7758/RSF.2025.11.3.05
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  • Article
    • Abstract
    • A DESCRIPTIVE PORTRAIT OF THE CARCERAL STATE
    • EXISTING PERSPECTIVES ON RACIAL AND ETHNIC HETEROGENEITY
    • DATA AND METHODS USED
    • OVERVIEW OF RESEARCH ON FALLOUT FROM CRIMINAL JUSTICE CONTACT
    • CONCLUSION
    • FOOTNOTES
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Keywords

  • incarceration
  • criminal justice system
  • inequality
  • race
  • collateral consequences

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